TRC and Yale Blog

TRC is proud to be an official Knowledge Partner of the Yale Center for Customer Insights (YCCI).

TRC's Chief Research Officer, Rajan Sambandam, will contribute to the Yale CCI Blog, consult on academic-practitioner issues and generally help spread the word about the good work being done by YCCI Fellows.

Check out Rajan's latest contribution - Hey, I bought Jon Voight's Car!

April 2010


Practitioners' Place
Configurators - should you ask respondents to build their own products?
Sometimes product and service concepts grow so complex that it's difficult to test them realistically within a traditional conjoint format. Other times you're less interested in simulating "what-if" scenarios, and more interested in the specifics of how and why consumers are making choices. In our latest TRC white paper we explore configurators, and onhow they can be a helpful alternative to conjoint approaches. Read all about it here.

Is Toyota in trouble? Maybe not…yet, thanks to brand insulation (from the Harvard Business Review online).
TRC partnered with Vikas Mittal and Paul Dholakia of Rice University's Jones Graduate School of Business to examine consumer opinions of Toyota in the face of its recent recalls and the accompanying bad publicity. The scoop: while continued bad news may hurt its customer loyalty in the long run, consistently high satisfaction with Toyota over time is keeping Toyota owners remain committed to the brand today. Dig into the results of this study here.

R² (Our CEO, Rich Raquet, on Research)
More "choices," fewer "ratings": lessons we can learn from the accuracy of political polls.
Despite differences in sampling strategy, data collection methods, and political biases, pollsters generally did a great job of predicting the 2008 election. Rich believes that speaks volumes about the power of choice-based questions over discrete, ratings-based approaches. Agree? Disagree? Read his latest R² post, and as always let Rich know what you think.

Insightology
Follow the money! Once again good visuals "pay off."
Regardless of your political leanings, most people can agree that it's nice to know the facts about where our money's being spent. This has been particularly true with regard to Stimulus Bill funds, and no less than Edward Tufte has been enlisted in the effort to help citizens track spending. Check it out, along with a link to a nifty display of British government spending, in our Insightology blog.


Configurators - Should you ask respondents to build their own products?

Product Configurator

By Rajan Sambandam

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Consider a person who wants to buy a personal computer. A simple way to do it would be to go to the website of a computer manufacturer and essentially "build" a computer. The firm provides the options for various components such as monitor size and CPU speed along with specific prices. The customer can select exactly the combination desired, subject to a price constraint. When all of the offered options are considered, the consumer is choosing a specific computer that fits the budget from among several thousand computers. Yet the process can be completed quickly, efficiently and can be almost enjoyable for the customer. Would it be possible to use such a process for research? How would it work and what kind of results can we expect? This article deals with these issues through the use of a product configurator for research.

Product configurators in various forms have been historically used by firms to help their salespeople sell the right products to customers. With the improvement in computing power and the high level of Internet access in the general population, firms are increasingly allowing customers to "design" the products they want to buy. The same factors can be useful for researchers trying to understand consumer behavior.

A product configurator based approach to research is most appropriate when the product (or service) has multiple features with varying options. Conceptually this is very similar to the basic design requirement in a conjoint analysis. [For a more detailed explanation of conjoint analysis, please refer to Deriving Value from Research: The Use of Conjoint Analysis for Product Development]. In conjoint analysis, products or sets of products are evaluated by respondents and the answers are analyzed to understand the importance of different features and options. This means an experimental design often has to be used to create the products and there are rules on how to construct the products and sets. Violations of rules can have a strong impact on the quality of the results.

On the other hand, a product configurator has virtually no rules. In the most basic version of the configurator, respondents choose the options they like and assemble a product that best meets their needs. Studying the choices they make allows us to understand what is important to them. Often a price constraint is included along with each option so that respondents do not automatically select the best option in each case. For example, in configuring a personal computer, respondents may face a choice between a 17-inch monitor priced at $100 and a 19-inch monitor priced at $150. As they keep making choices a running total of the amount of money they have "spent" is provided. Thus a respondent who wishes to spend less than a specified amount (say $1000) for a personal computer will have to make choices of features, such as monitor size, where price will have to be traded tradedoff with more desirable options of that feature.

Sometimes the nature of a product is such that a price constraint cannot be imposed for every feature or option. In such cases, respondents can be asked what price they would be willing to pay. Alternatively, a Van Westendorp pricing approach can be used to understand the willingness of people to pay for the product.

Are there any advantages to using this method over conjoint analysis? The primary advantage is in terms of flexibility. Conjoint analysis has to follow certain rules in terms of the number and type of features and options included in a study as well as the ways in which they can be combined. Since the configurator is not a statistical model, it does not have to follow any such rules. Logic dictates the setup of the process more than anything else. On the other hand, the specific type of results that conjoint analysis produces, such as utility scores and market simulation are hard to get in a configurator since an experimental design is not used. Therefore a configurator should be used appropriately with a good understanding of what it can and cannot easily do.

An Example

The purchase of auto insurance is a good research application for a product configurator. The product is somewhat complicated, has multiple features and options and because of the individualized nature of the pricing, is hard to model by other methods. In order to study it using a configurator, the (six) features and options shown in Table 1 were selected. With input from industry experts, the approximate price associated with each option was estimated. First, respondents were asked how much they currently paid for their auto insurance. Then a basic auto insurance package was presented to them.

The basic product is a six-month auto insurance policy. It includes:

Comprehensive and collision coverage with a $500 deductible. The minimum coverage for bodily injury liability and property damage is mandated by the particular state. This provides $15,000 per person and $30,000 per accident coverage for bodily injuries where you are at fault, $5,000 in property damage liability where you are at fault, and $5,000 in coverage for your medical bills in an accident where you are at fault.

To make the task more realistic, the price for this product was fixed at approximately the current price paid by the respondent for auto insurance. Then respondents were offered the options shown in Table 1 and were told that they could either stay with the basic product or modify features. As new options within a particular feature are selected, the overall price changes to let the respondent know what the overall price was going to be. The costs associated with each feature option and the proportion of people choosing each option (as well as those who stayed with the basic package) are also shown on Table 1.

As seen on Table 1, between a third and a half of the respondents stay with the basic package on every feature and opt not to modify anything. The most frequent modification is the reduction of the comprehensive deductible to $250 (at a cost of $19), while the least attractive modification is the No increase in premium for up to 2 accidents in 3 years. The latter does carry a stiffer price tag ($56) that may make it unattractive.

While the information contained in this table is interesting and would provide auto insurance providers with good insight on what consumers want, the results could perhaps be more interesting if we could identify segments in the data. To this end, these data were segmented using cluster analysis. The resulting five-segment solution is shown in Table 2.

Segment 1, which is about a third of the sample, is clearly the most satisfied with the base product. Respondents in this segment show virtually no interest in the options offered on each feature. These respondents are also the most likely to say that their current premium is low (33% say it is less than $400, compared to 26% for the entire sample). It is possible that these are the price conscious shoppers and it also appears that they are not particularly wealthy.

Segments 2 and 3 (19% each, of the total sample) have strong preferences for low deductibles (both collision and comprehensive) and both segments like the idea of their premium increasing only if they are at fault in an accident. But there are some other areas where they sharply differ. Segment 2 is very concerned about bodily injury liability, while Segment 3 strongly prefers a one year policy term. They are very clearly different with regard to deductible reductions based on lack of accidents. Segment 2 strongly prefers the 1-year no accident option, while Segment 3 overwhelmingly prefers the 6-month no accident option. Finally, Segment 2 appears to be wealthier, somewhat younger and more educated.

Segment 4 clearly prefers high deductibles. It may be even more price conscious than Segment 1 since increasing the deductibles is the only way to reduce the price of the product below that of the base price. Respondents in this segment may also be more confident of not getting into accidents, given that they like the 1-year no accident option for decreasing deductibles. This segment seems to be more educated than other segments and is twice as likely to be Asian (4% compared to 2% for the next highest segment).

Segment 5 (13%) appears to be a middle-of-the-road segment on most features and tends to stay with the base product half the time.

Taken together these results show that the product configurator can effectively separate out the segments in this market based on preferences. This task is considerably easier to design and is very easy for the respondent to answer compared to a conjoint task. While simulations may not be possible, some very useful information can be obtained from the study. Further, explaining the results to senior management will be easier than in the case of a conjoint analysis.

Table 1

Feature and Options Cost % Chosen
Collision Deductible
$250 Deductible $74 33%
$1000 Deductible -$37 24%
BASE ($500 Deductible) 43%
Bodily Injury Liability
$300K, $300K $58 38%
$100K, $300K $52 28%
BASE (State Minimum) 34%
Get Out of Accident Free Feature
Premium increase only if at fault $25 33%
No increase for one fault in three years $40 17%
No increase for two faults in three years $56 7%
BASE (Increase possible in any accident) 43%
Extended Policy Term
One year policy term $50 34%
Two year policy term $100 16%
BASE (Six month policy term) 50%
Decreasing Deductible
6 month no accidents $50 less/max $250 $15 30%
1 year no accidents $100 less/max $500 $25 35%
BASE (No decrease in deductible) 35%
Comprehensive Deductible
$250 Deductible $19 42%
$1000 Deductible -$13 20%
BASE ($500 deductible) 38%

Table 2

Feature and Options Seg 1 Seg 2 Seg 3 Seg 4 Seg 5
Segment Sizes 32% 19% 19% 17% 13%
Collision Deductible
$250 Deductible 7% 66% 78% 0% 25%
$1000 Deductible 5% 8% 5% 97% 27%
BASE ($500 Deductible) 88% 26% 17% 3% 48%
Bodily Injury Liability
$300K, $300K 20% 95% 33% 44% 0%
$100K, $300K 0% 0% 55% 32% 99%
BASE (State Minimum) 80% 5% 12% 24% 1%
Get Out of Accident Free Feature
Premium increase only if at fault 19% 40% 58% 29% 27%
No increase for one fault in three years 5% 27% 30% 18% 11%
No increase for two faults in three years 1% 23% 3% 12% 4%
BASE (Increase possible in any accident) 75% 10% 9% 41% 58%
Extended Policy Term
One year policy term 7% 37% 74% 43% 20%
Two year policy term 3% 40% 11% 19% 21%
BASE (Six month policy term) 90% 23% 15% 38% 59%
Decreasing Deductible
6 months no accidents $50 less/max $250 17% 1% 89% 24% 21%
1 year no accidents $100 less/max $500 14% 87% 6% 47% 45%
BASE (No decrease in deductible) 69% 12% 5% 29% 34%
Comprehensive Deductible
$250 Deductible 14% 84% 85% 0% 39%
$1000 Deductible 2% 2% 9% 98% 5%
BASE ($500 Deductible) 84% 14% 6% 2% 56%

TRC is a full-service market research provider located in Fort Washington, PA. We deliver insightful results, a range of methodological and analytic options, and a passionate customer service commitment to every client we serve, and with every project we do.

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Does Media Coverage of Toyota Recalls Reflect Reality?

Toyota has announced three major recalls covering a total of eight million vehicles globally since October 2009. The recalls are for defects that have been associated with 52 fatalities and 38 injuries so far.

Not surprisingly, the business media and notable Toyota experts are starkly pessimistic. We looked at 108 Wall Street Journal articles discussing Toyota during February, 2010, and found that 106 were negative to Toyota. In a recent column by Dennis Seid, Jeffrey Liker, an economist and author of The Toyota Way observed that the hearings and the resultant lawsuits could severely damage the company in many ways. Management consultant Kenichi Ohmae expressed reservations regarding the ability of Toyota's management to meet the "psychological" challenge in the face of mounting political and media attacks in a New York Times op-ed.

It's a dismal time for once-great Toyota, right? Maybe not. Using a national online panel provided by TRC, a marketing research organization, we interviewed 455 U.S. American vehicle owners between February 20 and March 2 to find out how they feel about Toyota. A total of 58 Toyota owners (13% of total) and 397 owners of other brands (87% of total) completed the survey, which matches the proportion of Toyota to non-Toyota drivers in the U.S. Most of the survey was comprised of satisfaction questions ranked on a 0 to 10 scale (10 being completely satisfied).

Results: Toyota owners' overall satisfaction was in line with other vehicle owners'. Using regression analysis, we found that Toyota owners cited four drivers of overall satisfaction with vehicle quality: reliability; ease of maintenance; safety; and brakes. These four predictors explained 88% of the variance in overall satisfaction with their vehicles. The same four factors explained 83% of variance in satisfaction with non-Toyota owners. We concluded that safety and brakes are equally important for both Toyota owners and owners of other vehicles when evaluating how satisfied they are with their vehicle's quality.

These respondents aren't living under rocks. Both for Toyota and non-Toyota owners, 93% of respondents had heard about the recalls. But contrary to media prognostications, the recalls don't appear to have affected the Toyota brand image adversely among its customers. Toyota owners, compared to owners of other vehicles, agreed more strongly that Toyota appropriately handled issues with respect to the brake-pedal recall; they were more likely to say they believed that this incident is an outlier, that typically Toyota has a strong reputation for quality, and that recall shows Toyota's commitment to customer safety.

We measured a number of perceptions regarding other brands among respondents. Toyota owners did not believe that domestic automakers such as GM, Ford, and Chrysler are catching up to Toyota and Honda in either safety or reliability. These results again indicate a clear and solidly strong brand advantage for Toyota among current Toyota vehicle owners.

Finally, the big question: Would you buy another Toyota? Again, the results were clear. Toyota owners did not believe they would be less likely to buy a Toyota vehicle in the future because of this incident, indicated greater willingness than non-Toyota customers to consider a Toyota for purchase, and considered Toyota to be one of the most reliable automotive brands.

ToyotaSurvey

Recall from the regression analysis that brakes and safety were two of the four factors that are equally, if not more important for Toyota owners than owners of other makes. Seems that the recalls for problems with these attributes should have made Toyota owners much less satisfied with the brand and seeking alternatives. Yet our respondents seem perfectly sanguine about their Corollas and Priuses.

We're chalking this up to the "brand insulation effect." For a brand to be insulated it needs to deliver two things to customers: a high level of satisfaction and, this is key, a consistent satisfaction. If you have both, you can withstand an instance of lapsed performance. If, on the other hand, satisfaction is high but also highly variable, there is no such insulation. If, for example, more recalls become necessary, Toyota's consistency will begin to wane and its insulation will begin to fail. Instances of negative performance reflect poorly on the brand, leading to a downward spiral of declining satisfaction and sales.

Our results show Toyota has brand insulation. Customers refute the overly pessimistic views being taken by many reporters and business experts. So, it was a great story, the Fall of Toyota. But so far, it's just a story.

Vikas Mittal is the J. Hugh Liedtke professor of management at the Jones Graduate School of Business, Rice University. Rajan Sambandam is the Chief Research Officer at TRC. Utpal M. Dholakia is an associate professor of marketing at Rice University.

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TRC's White Paper Library offers, among others, various choice-related articles.

Featured Choice-Related White Papers:

Product Configurator

How to Improve Your Segmentation with Max-Diff

Conjoint Analysis vs. Self-explicated

Understanding Choice in Banking: Use of Discrete Choice Analysis

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